COT Market Sentiment
COT positioning reflects a clear risk hierarchy across assets, reinforcing 12 Key Forex Moves seen this week. The U.S. Dollar and JPY maintain strong speculative backing, while Silver shows the most aggressive bullish commitment. Gold remains moderately supported, suggesting trend continuation rather than exhaustion. On the currency side, EUR, GBP, AUD, and NZD positioning confirms persistent weakness, aligning with broader risk-off flows and momentum-driven capital rotation.
- USD (DXY) – STRONG (4/5)
- GOLD (XAU/USD) – SLIGHTLY STRONG (3/5)
- SILVER (XAG/USD) – STRONG (5/5)
- EUR (EUR/USD) – WEAK (2/5)
- GBP (GBP/USD) – WEAK (2/5)
- AUD (AUD/USD) – SLIGHTLY WEAK (2/5)
- NZD (NZD/USD) – SLIGHTLY WEAK (2/5)
- JPY (USD/JPY) – STRONG (5/5)
- CHF (USD/CHF) – STRONG (4/5)
- CAD (USD/CAD) – SLIGHTLY STRONG (3/5)
Market Analysis
GOLD
Gold price action continues to respect the broader bullish structure, aligning well with 12 Key Forex Moves currently shaping the market. Price stability above the 2577 pivot keeps upside scenarios valid, particularly when viewed through an EMA and RSI confluence strategy. Momentum indicators with price action confirm buyers defending higher lows, while a candlestick pattern plus RSI filter supports continuation toward 2618 and 2633. On higher timeframes, multi-timeframe confluence trading shows trend alignment, reinforcing bullish bias unless 2577 fails decisively.
SILVER
Silver remains the strongest metal within 12 Key Forex Moves, delivering a decisive breakout supported by aggressive momentum. The sharp rally reflects strong institutional demand, with combining moving averages with candles confirming trend acceleration. RSI remains elevated but not divergent, suggesting sustained upside rather than exhaustion. From a multi-timeframe confluence trading perspective, higher-timeframe structure supports continuation as long as price holds above 65.00. Any pullbacks are likely corrective, offering trend-following opportunities rather than reversals.
DXY
The Dollar Index strength is a central driver behind 12 Key Forex Moves, maintaining higher highs above key intraday supports. Momentum indicators with price action confirm bullish continuation, supported by rising EMAs and firm RSI readings. As long as price holds above 98.250, trend structure remains intact. Multi-timeframe analysis shows alignment across intraday and swing horizons, reinforcing dollar dominance against weaker counterparts and maintaining pressure on risk-sensitive currencies.
EURUSD
EURUSD weakness fits cleanly within 12 Key Forex Moves, as bearish momentum accelerates below key resistance zones. The pair continues to respect descending EMAs, with RSI failing to regain bullish territory. Candlestick structure reflects persistent selling pressure, suggesting rallies remain corrective. Multi-timeframe confluence trading confirms downside continuation while price holds below 1.1740, keeping focus on psychological support near 1.1700.
GBPUSD
Sterling remains under pressure, reinforcing 12 Key Forex Moves across major pairs. A breakdown below previous support has shifted structure decisively bearish, with momentum indicators with price action favoring continuation lower. RSI remains suppressed, while EMA alignment confirms trend strength. Until price reclaims 1.3380, bearish setups dominate, with sellers controlling both intraday and short-term swing flows.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD continues to weaken in line with 12 Key Forex Moves, reflecting risk-sensitive currency pressure. The pair trades below its key EMA cluster, while RSI struggles to regain equilibrium. Candlestick behavior shows repeated rejection near 0.6630, validating bearish bias. Multi-timeframe confluence trading supports further downside unless price decisively breaks back above resistance, which currently appears unlikely given dollar strength.
NZDUSD
NZDUSD price action remains soft and technically vulnerable within 12 Key Forex Moves. Lower highs and consistent rejection near resistance highlight ongoing distribution. Momentum indicators with price action favor sellers, while EMA slope remains negative. As long as price stays below the 0.57800 pivot, bearish continuation toward 0.57700 remains the higher-probability scenario across intraday and short-term horizons.
USDJPY
USDJPY strength is one of the clearest expressions of 12 Key Forex Moves, driven by yield differentials and momentum flows. Price continues to respect rising EMAs, with RSI holding firm in bullish territory. Breakout structure suggests continuation toward higher psychological levels as long as 154.80 holds. Multi-timeframe confluence trading strongly favors trend continuation rather than mean reversion.
USDCHF
USDCHF maintains steady bullish momentum, aligning cleanly with 12 Key Forex Moves. Price structure shows higher lows supported by EMA convergence, while RSI confirms sustained buying pressure. As long as price holds above 0.79650, upside targets remain in play, with momentum indicators with price action favoring continuation rather than consolidation.
USDCAD
USDCAD completes the broader dollar-strength narrative behind 12 Key Forex Moves. The pair continues to grind higher, supported by bullish EMA alignment and stable RSI readings. Candlestick behavior shows controlled buying rather than exhaustion, keeping upside bias intact above 1.37650. Any pullbacks remain corrective unless key support levels fail.
Final Thoughts
Overall, 12 Key Forex Moves highlight a market dominated by dollar strength, metal volatility, and clear momentum-driven trends. Using structured tools like EMA and RSI confluence, multi-timeframe analysis, and price action confirmation remains essential for disciplined execution as these trends continue to evolve.
