COT Market Sentiment
This week’s COT report highlights 9 Tactical Market Setups reflecting a strong U.S. dollar and weaker commodity-linked currencies. The DXY continues to dominate as risk aversion intensifies, while gold shows renewed bullish momentum. Traders adopting a confluence trading strategy forex approach can see multiple alignment signals between RSI, moving averages, and candlestick structures—each validating potential entry points.
Overall sentiment shows dollar strength prevailing against majors, while metals experience mixed flows amid global uncertainty. Using RSI divergence price action setup and price action with momentum indicators, traders can better navigate market inflection zones and refine intraday execution.
- AUD – WEAK (4/5)
- GBP – SLIGHTLY WEAK (3/5)
- CAD – SLIGHTLY WEAK (3/5)
- EUR – SLIGHTLY WEAK (3/5)
- JPY – SLIGHTLY WEAK (3/5)
- CHF – WEAK (4/5)
- USD (DXY) – STRONG (5/5)
- NZD – WEAK (4/5)
- GOLD – STRONG (5/5)
- SILVER – SLIGHTLY WEAK (3/5)
Market Analysis
GOLD
Gold remains range-bound near $3985, showing consolidation before a decisive move. The RSI reveals soft momentum, hinting at possible RSI divergence price action setup formation. Traders may look for candlestick confirmation with indicators near the $3985 pivot to align long entries toward $4030–$4045. The moving average and RSI combo forex structure supports a mildly bullish bias above the pivot, confirming its place as one of this week’s 9 Tactical Market Setups.
SILVER
Silver slipped 0.70% to $47.74 amid sustained selling pressure. Despite brief intraday recoveries, the overall tone remains weak below $48.00. However, price action with momentum indicators suggests potential for short-term stabilization if support at $47.60 holds. Combining confluence trading strategy forex signals with RSI movement can help traders identify a rebound opportunity. Silver remains sensitive to dollar trends, keeping it within the tactical watchlist of the 9 Tactical Market Setups.
USDDXY
The U.S. Dollar Index gained 0.10%, closing near 99.98 and reinforcing overall bullish dominance. The price structure displays a clear confluence trading strategy forex alignment between trend direction and RSI confirmation. Sustained trading above 99.90 may open the door toward the 100.00 psychological barrier. The moving average and RSI combo forex signals validate ongoing momentum strength—making DXY a leading indicator within the 9 Tactical Market Setups.
GBPUSD
GBP/USD continues to face resistance near 1.3160, capping bullish attempts. A break below this level may trigger renewed selling toward 1.3105. The RSI remains muted, showing little sign of momentum recovery. Combining RSI divergence price action setup with candlestick confirmation with indicators helps traders identify false breakouts. This disciplined approach ensures GBP/USD stays a key candidate in the 9 Tactical Market Setups this week.
AUDUSD
AUD/USD weakened 0.56% to 0.6500, pressured by risk aversion and a robust U.S. dollar. The RSI slope and moving averages both point lower, confirming the trend’s strength. Employing moving average and RSI combo forex methods reinforces the bearish bias. However, price nearing major support at 0.6480 could present a countertrend setup under the price action with momentum indicators framework—one of the sharper 9 Tactical Market Setups for short-term traders.
NZDUSD
NZD/USD continues its downward drift, showing persistent bearish sentiment. Despite small intraday rebounds, the pair has lost over 2.6% this month, reflecting firm dollar demand. RSI readings stay below 40, aligning with confluence trading strategy forex models that emphasize short continuation setups. Watching for candlestick confirmation with indicators near 0.5710 support could provide a tactical entry within the 9 Tactical Market Setups.
EURUSD
EUR/USD trades below its 1.1540 pivot, favoring sellers. The RSI divergence price action setup continues to confirm bearish control, supported by 20- and 50-period moving averages trending lower. The moving average and RSI combo forex method validates short bias toward 1.1505 and 1.1490. Traders who combine price action with momentum indicators can anticipate more precise entries within the 9 Tactical Market Setups.
USDJPY
USD/JPY sustains its bullish stance above 153.90. RSI remains elevated, supporting further upside to 154.40 and 154.70. The strong alignment between RSI and trend averages confirms this as one of the most confident 9 Tactical Market Setups. Using confluence trading strategy forex principles, traders can manage risk through layered confirmation signals from RSI and candlestick structure.
USDCHF
USD/CHF saw a modest 0.04% rise to 0.8084 after a volatile session. Despite fluctuations, the pair maintains a mild bullish bias supported by moving average and RSI combo forex confluence. Short-term corrections remain likely, but momentum strength favors continuation. The candlestick confirmation with indicators strategy provides traders with clarity on intraday reversals—a valuable addition to this week’s 9 Tactical Market Setups.
USDCAD
USD/CAD closed at 1.4073, up 0.12%, following a day of mixed volatility. Price held above key intraday supports, aligning with price action with momentum indicators and RSI divergence price action setup cues. As oil weakness supports the dollar, the pair retains its bullish momentum. This alignment cements USD/CAD as a critical element within the 9 Tactical Market Setups for continuation trades.
Final Thoughts
The 9 Tactical Market Setups this week showcase dominant U.S. dollar momentum across pairs, while gold and USD/JPY display consistent bullish alignment. Traders integrating confluence trading strategy forex, RSI divergence price action setup, and moving average and RSI combo forex techniques can refine their decision-making and risk control. Using candlestick confirmation with indicators and price action with momentum indicators together enhances accuracy and timing.
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