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11 Sharp Forex Moves After Key CPI and Dollar Shake-Up

COT Reports Analysis

The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals significant positioning shifts among major currencies, commodities, and the U.S. Dollar. For traders utilizing forex momentum indicators, this data offers essential context for planning trade entries and exits with added conviction.

Here’s this week’s positioning overview based on sentiment scores:

Market Analysis 

GOLD

Gold prices have started to lose momentum after yesterday’s session, with bearish pressure picking up. Both MACD and RSI are now reflecting increased selling volume and negative momentum. While there was temporary upside, the trend remains firmly bearish. Using an indicator-based entry strategy, traders should monitor for further bearish continuation before re-entering any long positions.

SILVER

Silver is tracking lower towards the EMA200, which remains a key technical level. MACD and RSI show growing bearish strength, suggesting a potential test of this moving average before any significant reversal. Momentum traders may look for a Bollinger Bands forex entry around EMA200 if volatility compresses before a bounce.

DXY (US Dollar Index)

The U.S. Dollar reacted sharply to the softer CPI release but has since regained strength. MACD and RSI now show fresh bullish energy, pointing to a short-term recovery. Forex momentum indicators currently suggest buyers are regaining control, but rate cut speculation could add volatility. Watch for moving average crossover signals on the lower timeframes to time intraday trades.

GBPUSD

The Pound broke down below the 1.34294 level after soft U.S. data failed to trigger a recovery. MACD and RSI confirm strong bearish momentum. This setup aligns well with short continuation plays. An indicator-based entry strategy using MACD confirmation could help pinpoint lower timeframe entries.

AUDUSD

AUD/USD continues its downside slide, respecting EMA200 resistance. Both MACD and RSI continue to favor further bearish momentum. Momentum traders can look for stochastic oscillator entry signals to time fresh short entries, especially if the pair remains suppressed beneath key moving averages.

NZDUSD

NZD/USD remains under heavy bearish pressure after breaking below the key 0.59796 level. The MACD and RSI both show strong selling momentum. This market offers a clean structure for short setups, with forex momentum indicators supporting trend continuation trades toward the next major support.

EURUSD

EUR/USD finally broke below its consolidation range, shifting the momentum fully to the downside. MACD and RSI are both confirming this bearish breakout. This pair is suitable for continuation trades using moving average crossover signals or an indicator-based entry strategy.

USDJPY

USD/JPY remains in an upward trend as Yen weakness persists. MACD and RSI continue to gain strength, highlighting sustained bullish momentum. The pair remains favorable for upside continuation, especially for those using stochastic oscillator entry signals to catch pullbacks within the bullish structure.

USDCHF

USD/CHF broke out to the upside following the softer U.S. CPI report, flipping its previous consolidation into a bullish breakout. MACD and RSI are aligned with growing bullish momentum, making it an attractive pair for long entries. Traders can monitor for Bollinger Bands forex entry setups to catch breakout continuation.

USDCAD

USD/CAD is testing the critical 1.37261 level but has yet to produce a decisive break. MACD and RSI remain neutral but lean slightly bullish. Traders should wait for a breakout above resistance before committing to buys, potentially using moving average crossover signals for confirmation.

Final Thoughts

This week’s market shifts, driven by softer CPI data and geopolitical tariffs, highlight the value of structured trading. By applying forex momentum indicators such as MACD, RSI, and EMA200, traders can avoid emotional trades and focus on clear market momentum.

In uncertain markets, discipline is key. Whether you’re waiting for moving average crossover signals, confirming trends with stochastic oscillator entry signals, or spotting volatility squeezes using Bollinger Bands forex entry, your technical tools will keep your strategy grounded while adapting to macroeconomic shifts. Visit: https://rs-fin.com/

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